Exposure Analysis
Definition of Exposure
Exposure refers to financial risk, not clinical prediction. It quantifies current and projected pharmacy spend trajectories based on observed patterns and conservative assumptions about continuation.
Why Exposure Precedes Cost
Exposure is measured before spend materializes. Early visibility into exposure trajectories allows intervention before costs become fixed. This is risk assessment, not forecasting.
How Exposure Is Bounded
Exposure estimates are bounded, not predicted. They include ranges rather than point values. Assumptions are documented and subject to review. Optimistic projections are not provided.
Nature of Outputs
Outputs describe exposure ranges, not guaranteed outcomes. They are designed for institutional consumption and include documentation of underlying assumptions. Visual representations are not included.